Science writers have touted the idea that the most
correct is often the most simple. I like that, but is that all the
story? Simple today may not fit tomorrow. Will a simple, seemingly
obvious, yet incorrect, assumption of the past lead to complexity in the
future?
I suppose we all have our ideas of simple. A best
case description might be something that takes little time, easy to
understand, few in number, seems obvious, coincides with math, describes our
observances, easy to describe or explain, and seems rational? You know__ this might describe the Astronomy of
Ptolemy as compared with Copernicus.
My main thrust about simplicity is: Simple
might not be self evident.
Few in number? There are not all that many pieces,
or men, comprising a game of chess, but how many combinations of moves can be
contrived in these contests?
Discovery or creativity might be just a flash of
inspiration. But I remember a poet being asked how long it took to write
a poem. He related something like: To write on the paper, not long, but
the creation of the poem might have begun from when I was born, or maybe it
started at the beginning of time...
Technology seems to play a large part. With new
technology we can eliminate some dead ends, but create many new paths.
But, with new technology do we use new reasoning to analyze our observations?
If I travel a road for a long period in search of a
particular restaurant I favor, without finding it; should I go back and try a
different road, or should I just dine anywhere with others I met along the way? It has
been over 300 years since Newton's work on gravitation. But, actually
how gravity works has not been yet discovered. The chapters from here
on, will appear strange to many, but if given enough thought, may
actually possess more simplicity than what we have today. I have
retraced my steps, and this time I believe I have read the road signs more correctly, to arrive at
my desired place for dinner.
* * * *
Along the lines of scientific
simplicity and integrity...
"Occam,s Razor [William of Ockham]
: A scientific and philosophic rule that entities should not be multiplied
unnecessarily which is interpreted as requiring that the simplest of competing
theories be preferred to the more complex or that explanations of unknown
phenomena be sought first in terms of known quantities."
"From Sir Isaac Newton: We are to
admit no more causes of natural things than such as are both true and
sufficient to explain their appearances. To this purpose the
philosophers say that Nature does nothing in vain when less will serve; for
Nature is pleased with simplicity, and affects not the pomp of superfluous
causes."
"From Pooh and the Philosophers__
Unlike his Principle of Verifiability... between meaningful and meaningless
propositions, Sir Karl Raimund Popper's Principle of Falsifiability is
intended to distinguish between scientific and non-scientific. Given the
fact that no general proposition of fact can be certain, as opposed to highly
probable, how are we to distinguish scientific statements from those that are
non-scientific? Popper's answer... while no accumulation of instances
could prove a theory correct, one counter-instance could disprove it, at least
in part. In Popper's view, any statement that claims to be scientific
must in principle be capable of being falsified if it is indeed incorrect."
A bit from a chapter entitled
Speech concerning definitions... Thomas Hobbes gives us: "By this it
appears how necessary it is for any man that aspires to true knowledge, to
examine the definitions of former authors: and either to correct them , where
they are negligently set down, or to make them himself. For errors of
definitions multiply themselves according as the reckoning proceeds, and lead
men into absurdities, which at last they see, but cannot avoid without
reckoning anew from the beginning, in which lies the foundation of their
errors. From whence it happens they that trust to books so as they that
cast up many little sums into a greater, without considering whether those
little sums were rightly cast up or not; and at last finding the error
visible, and not mistrusting their first grounds, know not which way to clear
themselves, but spend time in fluttering over their books; as birds that
entering by the chimney, and finding themselves enclosed in a chamber, flutter
at the false light of a glass window, for want of wit to consider which way
they came in. So that in the right definition of names lies the first
use of speech, which is the acquisition of science; and in wrong, or no
definitions, lies the first abuse, from which proceed all false and senseless
tenets: which make those men that take their instruction from the authority of
books, and not from their own meditation, to be as much below the condition of
ignorant men as men endued with the true science are above it. For
between true science and erroneous doctrines, ignorance is in the middle.
Natural sense and imagination are not subject to absurdity. Nature
itself cannot err; and as men abound in copiousness of language, so they
become more wise, or more mad, than ordinary. Nor is it possible without
letters for any man to become either excellently wise, or, unless his memory
be hurt by disease or ill constitution of organs, excellently foolish.
For words are wise men's counters, they do but reckon by them; but are the
money of fools that value them by the authority of an Aristotle, a Cicero, or
a Thomas, or any other doctor whatsoever, if but a man..."
Lastly, Francis Bacon wrote: "It
is idle to expect any great advancements in science from the super-inducing
and engrafting of new things upon old. We must begin anew from the very
foundations, unless we would revolve forever in a circle with mean and
contemptible progress."